Was 3 for 3 at sucking yesterday. It was a good day though, got some fishing in and relaxed with my grandpa on the patio while we grilled up what we caught. Those 3 losses put me at 13 Wins and 10 Losses and brought my money total to $467.58. If I would have gone with the moneyline on the Rockies and Marlins game I would have made money. I think I need to get more experience to see when I should take the points or take the win. Boston finally pulled out a win, which if you're reading this Noble you were correct. 1 for 7 isn't bad.....Burn hahaha. True burn on me though because I picked the Yankees and I think if you asked me again today I would have picked them again. They both had horrendous pitching giving up 6 earned runs apiece by the starters. The bullpen is what gave the Yanks the loss. The Florida Houston game had some great pitching. Both starters went at least 7 innings and gave up 3 runs total. Rodriguez for Houston let the Marlins get on base but the Marlins just didn't capitalize leaving 8 men on. I just don't want to mention my Colorado pick. I will never mention that I am confident on a pick again.
Today's picks.
Pick Milwaukee(Narveson) vs Chicago Cubs(Garza) Moneyline -113
Potential: $88.50
Narveson has gone 3 and 0 against the cubs in 9 starts, both bullpens are iffy and have given up losses so far this season. I think it being in Milwaukee, one of the most fun cities to pronounce, and also if Narveson can stay on the mound, which out of 28 games started last year he only made it through the 7th inning 4 times, they could pull it off. Garza gave up 12 singles to Pittsburgh in his last outing and if he continues to give up contact like that then Milwaukee will not just be hitting singles.
Pick Tampa Bay (W. Davis) at Chicago White Sox (Humber) Moneyline +100
Potential: $100
You will be able to tell from this next stat that I do not have my kids this weekend. Over the past 3 years coming of a streak of 3 or more losses followed by a win the next game, the following game after that win Tampa Bay has won 14 out of 22 times. The White Sox have a pattern of Win Win Loss Loss Win Win Loss and if we follow this pattern the next logical outcome should be Loss. Haha. More logically the Sox are putting up a new kid in Humber and I think the Rays will make a turn for the better with Ramirez gone. Wade Davis has won the 2 games he has started against the sox posting a 2.19 era. I haven't done well betting for Tampa so hopefully this will change.
Pick Cleveland(Masterson) at Seattle(Fister) Moneyline +109
Potential: $109
When developing my formula for betting on games the biggest factor was offense. Defense or ERA did not really factor that well into the formula and just based off of offense Cleveland should pick up this game. 44 runs over 7 games and on top of that putting up 12 runs last night. Last year Cleveland only won 6 games by 10 or more runs and out of those 6 they followed it up with a win. Of course this isn't the same team so far.
I think the game to watch will be the San Francisco vs. St. Louis game. Not just because I am a Cards fan but because I am a fan of good pitching. These 2 Starters could have you on the edge of your seat with a low scoring nail biter. Garcia and Cain were close to perfect their first two outings, neither giving up a run and both giving up 9 hits total (4 for Garcia and 5 for Cain) and just 2 walks, each by Garcia. I want to bet on the under at 7.5. So far on my little o/u side bets I am 1 for 2 and I think they might start becoming a habit.
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