Sunday, April 3, 2011

April 4th picks

 Who got 2 out of 3 picks right yesterday....This guy.  That brings my Wins to 6 and my losses to 5 against the spread.  I think I will be riding the Jaime Garcia bandwagon this season.  I like this kid, I like that he has the potential to go 9 innings and I really think he should be the #2 starter for STL.   Whats up with the Red Sox, they do have a perfect season going, just a Detroit Lions perfect, not a Patriots perfect.  So on to tomorrows picks.  Getting scary now because we are into the 3rd and 4th pitchers.  Hopefully it will just be a battle of offenses. 

Pick Baltimore(-1.5) vs Detroit

Detroit has given up 16 runs so far in the first 2 games.  I know that isn't a big deal with such a small sample size, but that was with their best pitching on the mound.  Now we are getting to their 3rd pitcher in Rick Porcello who had a rough April last year, minus one start.  He also held above a 5 era the whole season minus 3 games last year.  Conversly Baltimore has only given up 3 runs in 3 games and swept The Rays in St. Pete.  So just based off momentum I'm goin with Baltimore....yea, im so good at this haha.

Pick Atlanta(+1.5) at Milwaukee

Atlanta has shown they can hit against crappy pitching and they are going against the Brewers 4th starter, but really the 5th, with Grienke hurt Narveson jumped up a spot.  Beachy for the Braves only started 3 games last year, but he did keep his era in those games down to 3.00.   Who knows, I'm just going with ATL because I think they have the ability to put more runs on the board.

Pick Texas(-1.5) vs Seattle.

This Holland kid pitching for Texas had a 2.32 era at home last year.  Lets not talk about the road era.  Plus 28 ks in 31 inning and only gave up 8 earned runs.  Again, this is a small sample size of just 31 innings but that is what I will be going off of.  He also pitched better at night and this will be a night game.   Texas has also knocked in 26 runs over 3 games against the Red Sox.  I hope they don't play down to their competition in Seattle.  If they are the same offensive team that shows up then Texas should have no prob putting up the W.  Seattle is putting up Bedard who didn't have any playing time last year, but he did have a decent spring training keeping his era at 3.15.

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