Wednesday, April 6, 2011

April 7th picks. Took April 6th off

So I have decided to actually go back and see how much I would have made so far off my picks using teamrankings.com but I had to change one game to make this work.  The Atlanta-Milwaukee game on April 4th had a different run-line on yahoo so I just threw it out as a push.  This actually brings my totals to 10Wins to 7Losses, this includes the April 5th picks were I was right on 2 out of the 4 games.  I hypothetically bet $100 on each game, it makes the odds easier to calculate.  Using this, I have $1127.84 in winnings, but I have spent $700 on my lost bets so therefore my total winnings are $427.84.  With 17 games played, this means I have put up a $1700 investment and made $427.84 over the top.  I will take a 25% rate of return on an investment.  Of course this is just over 17 games and if I continue with 3 games a day for lets say 6 days a week that will be roughly about 400 more games to bet on as long as I don't get bored with this at some point and realize I'm spending way to much time, and in all actuallity am creating a negative rate of return if time does actually equal money.

So from here on out I am going to either bet the run line or money line.  I will post also how much I will make per bet if won given I put up $100.  Here is a good little intro if you have no idea what I am talking about http://casinogambling.about.com/od/racesports/a/baseball.htm I have to admit that sometimes I have to google stuff like this because of all the different betting lingo.

Pick Houston at Reds (Money line +133)  
Profit $133
Houston has Myers on the mound who is their #1 starter and he is going agaist LeCure who is making his 6th start in the majors and first this season and out of those 6 starts he had a 5.31 era. Houstons record looks crappy but they went up against The Phillies top three starters right out of the gate.  I think this game will turn them around or at minimum give them that much needed win.   

Pick Philadelphia(-1.5) vs. NY Mets (Run line +115)
Profit $115
I think this is going to come down to a pitchers duel.  In thinking that I should go with the moneyline but I think if Philly can get into the Mets bullpen they should be able to put up some runs.  Halladay should be electric, but The Mets have been putting big numbers up on the board as well.  Niese, the starter for NYM, had an ERA of 2.14 with his 3 starts against the Phillies last year so if that keeps up we should see low run.  I don't usually do o/u, but the 7.5 is enticing.  I'm thinking 3-1 phillies.

Chicago White Sox vs The Rays (Moneyline -109)
Profit $91.74
Poor Tampa.  They are my A.L. team and man they are stinking it up right now.  I think that will continue in this game.  The White Sox have knocked in 40 runs over the past 5 games against better teams.  Price is on the mound for Tampa, but if those bats don't turn around for the Rays I don't think it would make a difference who was out there.

2 comments:

  1. so help me with my fantasy baseball team?

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  2. This is my first year doing fantasy baseball and I have so much going on right now I haven't been able to get into it. I could probably answer questions like "should I start Pitcher A or Pitcher B" with strong logic. Maybe I should set up a paypal account for it. Haha, $5 an answer. For you Robey, 2 for $10.

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