Monday, February 7, 2011

My name is Robert and I love sports statistics

I have developed this blog to just jot down notes and such while I develop a formula for predicting outcomes for the upcoming baseball season.  My goal is to get a formula that will pick certain games 60% of the time.  I know this will be tough, but I think it is a good goal to have in mind.  I started collecting data last week and am trying to finagle some factors to throw into my regression equation.   This is a good starting point, and in turn my main goal is to keep the formula as straight forward as possible.  There is nothing worse than these intricate formulas that work no better than a basic formula with just one or two variables.  Well, you can enjoy the journey if you wish.  Up till the season start I will be using the blog to go over tweaks and what not, and maybe some outcomes with past data, but we won't hit the grindstone till the season starts in April.   This is when I plan to give picks as they come given the formula is confident enough to choose them and see how it works out. 

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